Independiente del Valle vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 1
BOC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
DEL
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 3
IVT
27%
26%
48%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
EME
1 - 2
IVT
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 1
BSC
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 4
AUC
46%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
AUC
0 - 1
BSC
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LDU
2 - 0
AUC
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 2
CUE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
AUC
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |