CSD Independiente vs UD Arenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 3
CSD
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CSD
1 - 0
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CDE
3 - 3
CSD
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
CSD
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CSD
2 - 1
MUR
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Arenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UDA
0 - 1
MUR
12%
19%
69%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ART
2 - 1
UDA
37%
25%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UDA
1 - 4
AND
9%
17%
75%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SLL
3 - 0
UDA
83%
11%
5%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UDA
1 - 1
ALA
20%
25%
55%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |