CSD Independiente vs La Unión CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SHO
2 - 2
CSD
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CSD
1 - 2
ESP
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
CSD
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CSD
5 - 0
UDA
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 3
CSD
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
La Unión CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
MUR
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ART
0 - 2
UNI
16%
23%
62%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
AND
17%
21%
63%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SLL
3 - 1
UNI
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALA
58%
23%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |