CSD Arzua vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RIB
3 - 0
ARZ
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 0
UDO
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UDA
1 - 0
ARZ
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PON
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
POL
2 - 0
ARZ
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
OUR
3 - 0
VIV
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
EST
1 - 2
OUR
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
OUR
2 - 0
ASP
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FIS
2 - 1
OUR
19%
23%
59%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
OUR
0 - 1
BOU
57%
23%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |