Grecia vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
IVT
0 - 2
GRE
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 1
LDU
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 0
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 0
BQD
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
LOJ
2 - 0
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
IVT
0 - 2
GRE
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
MUN
3 - 1
IVT
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
IVT
1 - 1
DUC
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
AUC
0 - 3
IVT
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
LDU
2 - 1
IVT
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |