CSA vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
5 - 2
CSA
89%
9%
2%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CRB
0 - 2
CSA
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
CSA
1 - 1
BOT
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CSE
0 - 0
CSA
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
CSA
1 - 0
IGA
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
IGA
0 - 0
PEN
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PEN
3 - 1
MUR
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
COR
3 - 1
PEN
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CRB
0 - 3
PEN
81%
13%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 0
CSE
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |