Alagoano Inicial round 11

CSA vs Penedense analysis

CSA Penedense
50 ELO 40
-0.4% Tilt -22.5%
1054º General ELO ranking 6093º
49º Country ELO ranking 250º
ELO win probability
71.5%
CSA
17.1%
Draw
11.4%
Penedense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
CSA
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.4%
Win probability
Penedense
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CSA
+21%
+17%
Penedense

ELO progression

CSA
Penedense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CSA
CSA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2007
BOT
Botafogo
5 - 2
CSA
CSA
89%
9%
2%
51 78 27 0
25 Feb. 2007
CRB
CRB
0 - 2
CSA
CSA
78%
14%
8%
49 59 10 +2
14 Feb. 2007
CSA
CSA
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
14%
22%
64%
49 79 30 0
11 Feb. 2007
CSE
CSE
0 - 0
CSA
CSA
35%
27%
38%
49 39 10 0
07 Feb. 2007
CSA
CSA
1 - 0
Igaci
IGA
77%
15%
8%
49 32 17 0

Matches

Penedense
Penedense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2007
IGA
Igaci
0 - 0
Penedense
PEN
38%
24%
38%
39 30 9 0
11 Feb. 2007
PEN
Penedense
3 - 1
Murici
MUR
28%
25%
47%
37 46 9 +2
07 Feb. 2007
COR
Coruripe
3 - 1
Penedense
PEN
75%
15%
10%
37 52 15 0
04 Feb. 2007
CRB
CRB
0 - 3
Penedense
PEN
81%
13%
7%
35 61 26 +2
31 Jan. 2007
PEN
Penedense
0 - 0
CSE
CSE
41%
25%
34%
35 39 4 0