CSA vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
CSE
2 - 3
CSA
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CSA
2 - 1
COR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 1
CSA
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
CSA
0 - 1
COR
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
CSA
2 - 2
MUR
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
CRB
2 - 0
PEN
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 4
CSE
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
COR
5 - 3
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
PEN
3 - 1
ASA
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PEN
3 - 0
IPA
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |