CSA vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
CSA
3 - 0
VIT
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 0
CSA
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CRZ
1 - 1
CSA
66%
22%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
CSA
2 - 1
OES
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CON
1 - 5
CSA
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 1
GUA
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 1
AVA
47%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 1
SAM
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 1
SAM
68%
21%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |