CSA vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CSA
4 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
IGA
2 - 1
CSA
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
CSA
41%
28%
32%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
COR
1 - 1
CSA
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 3
CSA
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
COR
5 - 0
MUR
66%
19%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
COR
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
IGA
2 - 2
COR
29%
27%
45%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
COR
1 - 1
CSA
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
COR
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |