CSA vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
47.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 0
CSA
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRZ
16%
26%
58%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 1
CSA
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 2
FOR
29%
30%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
VAS
0 - 0
CSA
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAN
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CEA
4 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 3
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |