CSA vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 0
CSA
29%
31%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FFL
0 - 0
CSA
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 0
CSA
11%
21%
68%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 1
SAM
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
CSA
3 - 0
VIT
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 2
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
AVA
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
CRB
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
FFL
2 - 0
AVA
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 1
CRZ
23%
28%
49%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |