CSA vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 0
CSA
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ASA
2 - 2
CSA
10%
20%
71%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 0
BAH
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSA
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 5
CSA
7%
19%
74%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 4
4DE
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 2
FOR
6%
17%
77%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 2
ALT
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
4DE
85%
12%
4%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 1
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |