Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 6-4
Universitatea Craiova vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CSU
3 - 2
ARG
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
SEB
2 - 3
CSU
30%
24%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
CSU
3 - 3
WAR
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CSU
1 - 2
VIT
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CLU
1 - 0
CSU
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
SEB
2 - 3
CSU
30%
24%
47%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
ARG
0 - 0
SEB
36%
21%
43%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SEB
1 - 4
SHA
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
QAR
4 - 0
SEB
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SEB
2 - 1
FKQ
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |