CD San Fernando vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
REC
4 - 1
SFE
78%
12%
10%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
SFE
3 - 1
EME
86%
9%
5%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
CAA
2 - 3
SFE
63%
18%
20%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SFE
2 - 1
ILI
58%
19%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
MAG
5 - 1
SFE
61%
18%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
XER
2 - 0
MEL
60%
19%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
MEL
3 - 1
REC
53%
21%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
MEL
3 - 1
CPC
71%
16%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
EME
1 - 2
MEL
39%
21%
40%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
MEL
3 - 1
SDC
50%
21%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |