CD San Fernando vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
BOL
0 - 1
SFE
20%
27%
54%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SFE
3 - 0
PAL
57%
25%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
POZ
1 - 2
SFE
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SFE
2 - 1
CRD
64%
22%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
BAL
2 - 1
SFE
40%
28%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 0
PAL
46%
28%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CRD
0 - 2
LUC
44%
26%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
LUC
2 - 2
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ARC
0 - 2
LUC
37%
28%
36%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
LUC
0 - 1
CAD
51%
26%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |