Ocna Mureș vs Universitatea Alba Iulia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
10º
10º
21
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocna Mureș
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HUN
7 - 0
CSO
84%
12%
5%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ACS
3 - 1
CSO
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CSO
1 - 0
CHI
8%
16%
76%
|
28 | 71 | 43 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSO
1 - 2
UNI
29%
21%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCU
3 - 2
CSO
25%
22%
54%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Universitatea Alba Iulia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VII
1 - 1
UAI
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HUN
2 - 0
UAI
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UAI
1 - 1
ACS
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
UAI
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
UAI
1 - 1
FCU
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |