Sportivo Desamparados vs Unión Villa Krause analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
GUT
30%
27%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MAI
2 - 0
DES
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
DES
2 - 2
GIM
21%
28%
51%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
DES
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GUT
3 - 0
DES
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Villa Krause
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 2
UNI
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUT
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 0
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
DES
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
GIM
35%
30%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |