Switzerland Fourth Division Group 1 Round 3

CS Chênois vs FC Monthey analysis

CS Chênois FC Monthey
51 ELO 46
9.3% Tilt -3.7%
4726º General ELO ranking 6877º
53º Country ELO ranking 89º
ELO win probability
63%
CS Chênois
19.5%
Draw
17.5%
FC Monthey

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
CS Chênois
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.5%
Win probability
FC Monthey
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CS Chênois
-2%
+39%
FC Monthey

Points and table prediction

CS Chênois
Their league position
FC Monthey
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
13º
7
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Servette II
9
68
62%
FC Prishtina Bern
9
62
30.5%
Lancy FC
12º
3
51
19%
Naters
7
49
11.5%
CS Chênois
13º
2
47
12%
Echallens
3
44
12.5%
Amical Saint-Prex
6
44
8%
Martigny
4
43
9.5%
Stade Payerne
6
42
8.5%
FC Monthey
7
42
10º
8.5%
Portalban / Gletterens
4
40
11º
12%
Meyrin
16º
0
39
12º
9.5%
Sion II
10º
3
36
13º
12%
La Sarraz-Eclépens
15º
1
28
14º
24%
La Chaux-de-Fonds
14º
1
21
15º
34%
Coffrane
11º
3
16
16º
58%
Expected probabilities
CS Chênois
FC Monthey
Promotion play-offs
5% 3%
Possible next round
8.5% 3.5%
Mid-table
86% 91%
Relegation
0.5% 2.5%

ELO progression

CS Chênois
FC Monthey
Naters
Lancy FC
Sion II
Stade Payerne
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CS Chênois
CS Chênois
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2025
LAN
Lancy FC
1 - 0
CS Chênois
CSC
46%
25%
29%
52 52 0 0
09 Aug. 2025
CSC
CS Chênois
2 - 2
Naters
NAT
62%
20%
18%
52 47 5 0
15 Jul. 2025
CSC
CS Chênois
3 - 3
Grand-Saconnex
GRA
31%
23%
47%
51 57 6 +1
24 May. 2025
CSC
CS Chênois
1 - 2
Lancy FC
LAN
39%
25%
36%
52 54 2 -1
17 May. 2025
SIO
Sion II
1 - 2
CS Chênois
CSC
38%
25%
38%
51 48 3 +1

Matches

FC Monthey
FC Monthey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2025
FCM
FC Monthey
3 - 1
Echallens
ECH
27%
23%
50%
43 50 7 0
09 Aug. 2025
FCC
Coffrane
1 - 3
FC Monthey
FCM
18%
20%
62%
42 30 12 +1
24 May. 2025
POR
Portalban / Gletterens
1 - 3
FC Monthey
FCM
64%
20%
16%
40 49 9 +2
17 May. 2025
FCM
FC Monthey
3 - 3
Coffrane
FCC
70%
17%
14%
40 29 11 0
10 May. 2025
YVE
Yverdon Sport II
1 - 4
FC Monthey
FCM
31%
22%
48%
39 31 8 +1