Cacahuatique vs FAS analysis


50	ELO	69
-10.5%	Tilt	-6.6%
5414º	General ELO ranking	1979º
13º	Country ELO ranking	6º
ELO win probability

27.6%

Cacahuatique

27.4%

Draw

45.1%

FAS

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

27.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%

27.3%

Draw

0-0

9.4%

1-1

12.8%

2-2

4.4%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.3%

45.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+39%

-14%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

6

4º

8º

10

1º

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

1º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
2º	10	42	1º	45.5%
1º	10	41	2º	17.5%
7º	4	36	3º	14%
3º	7	36	4º	18.5%
4º	6	35	5º	15%
8º	4	33	6º	17%
10º	2	30	7º	21%
5º	6	28	8º	23.5%
6º	5	27	9º	19%
9º	3	19	10º	22%
12º	2	18	11º	31.5%
11º	2	18	12º	35%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Play-offs	69%	99%
Mid-table	31%	1%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cacahuatique

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
03 Aug. 2025	CDC 0 - 2 FUE 40% 27% 33%	50	53	3
28 Jul. 2025	INT 1 - 2 CDC 9% 15% 76%	50	10	40
23 Jul. 2025	CDC 1 - 2 ALI 29% 28% 43%	50	69	19
20 Jul. 2025	ZAC 0 - 1 CDC 9% 15% 77%	50	9	41
10 May. 2025	ALI 4 - 0 CDC 66% 19% 15%	50	69	19

Matches

FAS

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Aug. 2025	FAS 1 - 0 AGU 47% 27% 26%	67	69	2	0
27 Jul. 2025	FUE 0 - 8 FAS 30% 29% 41%	66	54	12	+1
24 Jul. 2025	HER 1 - 1 FAS 24% 27% 49%	66	10	56	0
20 Jul. 2025	FAS 1 - 0 MET 45% 26% 29%	65	66	1	+1
18 May. 2025	MUN 1 - 0 FAS 53% 24% 24%	66	69	3	-1