Cacahuatique vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4º
8º
8º
1
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
3 | 41 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 38 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
1 | 36 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 35 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 35 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 33 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 32 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
3 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 24 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 20 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 18 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
86% | 94.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
14% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 1
CDC
9%
15%
77%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALI
4 - 0
CDC
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALI
9%
15%
76%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 1
FIR
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
FAS
1 - 2
CDC
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 0
INT
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 9 | 61 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
MUN
0 - 0
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 0
FUE
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 1
ALI
11%
17%
72%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALI
4 - 0
CDC
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |