Crystal Palace vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CRY
1 - 1
NEW
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 1
CRY
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CRY
0 - 1
EVE
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 3
CRY
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 3
CRY
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
LIV
3 - 2
TOT
48%
24%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
30%
24%
46%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 2
LIV
10%
18%
72%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LIV
2 - 0
WHU
70%
19%
12%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
CHL
1 - 0
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |