Crystal Palace vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 1
CRY
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CHL
1 - 2
CRY
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CRY
1 - 0
WAT
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WBA
0 - 2
CRY
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRY
1 - 0
MID
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
ARS
3 - 0
WHU
63%
21%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 2
MAC
45%
24%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
WBA
3 - 1
ARS
15%
20%
65%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ARS
5 - 0
LIN
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 5
BYM
17%
22%
62%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |