Uefa Youth League Knock-outs 1/64
Global 4-1
Crvena Zvezda U19 vs St Patrick's U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
44.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
CRV
0 - 2
PTZ
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RAD
1 - 2
CRV
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
STP
1 - 2
CRV
49%
21%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OFK
1 - 4
CRV
9%
16%
74%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CRV
4 - 1
BTP
79%
14%
8%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
St Patrick's U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
COC
0 - 1
STP
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
STP
1 - 2
CRV
49%
21%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
STP
6 - 1
DER
48%
24%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
STP
2 - 1
GAL
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SHE
4 - 1
STP
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |