CBF Brasileiro U20 . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Cruzeiro Sub 20 vs Palmeiras Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 1
VAS
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 2
CRU
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 1
CRU
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 1
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 2
INT
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 0
BAH
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
VAS
0 - 0
PAL
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 1
COR
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |