Cruz Azul vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VER
0 - 0
CAZ
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 2
OUN
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RCU
1 - 0
CAZ
18%
24%
59%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAZ
3 - 0
IPC
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
TUT
2 - 1
CAZ
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 0
ATC
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ACH
1 - 1
ORI
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 2
IAC
71%
19%
11%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PDC
0 - 0
ORI
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 0
UAP
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |