Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 1-6
Crusaders vs Silkeborg IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
CLI
2 - 2
CRU
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 2
GLE
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 3
GLE
51%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
ARD
0 - 0
CRU
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
BAL
0 - 2
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Silkeborg IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1995 |
IKA
1 - 0
SIF
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
SIF
1 - 0
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1995 |
AGF
0 - 0
SIF
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
LYN
2 - 0
SIF
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
SIF
1 - 2
NAE
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |