Crusaders vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
5º
39
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 4
CRU
11%
21%
68%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
CRU
9 - 0
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 2
GLE
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
LOU
27%
27%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 1
GLE
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
COL
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 3
LOU
20%
27%
53%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |