Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
9º
5º
76
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 1
COL
43%
25%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 3
CRU
21%
20%
58%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 4
CRU
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 3
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
CRU
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 3
GLE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 3
LIN
24%
22%
54%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 3
LIN
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
CLI
0 - 0
LIN
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |