Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
5º
78
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
45%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
0 - 3
LAR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
CRU
19%
23%
58%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 2
LIN
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LIN
4 - 3
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |