Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
CRU
37%
25%
37%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
CRU
21%
22%
57%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
CRU
3 - 3
LAR
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CLI
2 - 2
CRU
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
LIN
3 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
CLI
4 - 3
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LIN
6 - 0
WAR
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
34%
26%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LIN
4 - 0
DUN
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |