Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 1
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 1
GLE
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
4 - 1
ARD
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 0
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 3
CLI
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
LIN
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 0
DUN
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |