Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
CRU
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 7
CRU
19%
21%
60%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
DON
0 - 2
CRU
19%
22%
59%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 4
LIN
11%
19%
70%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DON
1 - 5
LIN
14%
20%
66%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
COL
57%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIN
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |