Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CLI
0 - 0
CRU
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
COL
0 - 1
CRU
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CRU
4 - 1
INS
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 0
LIS
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
CLI
3 - 2
LIN
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 2
CLI
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
COL
1 - 2
LIN
31%
25%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
LIN
47%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |