Crusaders vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CRU
0 - 0
CLI
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
22%
21%
57%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -3 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
LIN
4 - 0
CRU
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
CRU
30%
23%
47%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
12%
19%
69%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
INS
0 - 4
COL
9%
20%
72%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 2
INS
56%
21%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
INS
0 - 4
LAR
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
DER
3 - 2
INS
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |