Crusaders vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 2
BAL
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
10%
17%
73%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CLI
1 - 5
CRU
28%
23%
49%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 1
WAR
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 0
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 4
DUN
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
10%
17%
73%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
LIN
4 - 0
GLE
75%
16%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
INS
3 - 3
GLE
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
10%
18%
72%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |