Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 2
COL
75%
16%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CRU
0 - 1
CLI
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 2
LIN
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 2
INS
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 2
WAR
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 5
GLE
47%
23%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 2
GLE
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
GLE
31%
25%
45%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
0 - 1
GLE
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |