Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 1
CRU
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 2
DUN
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CRU
3 - 1
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 1
NEW
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
GLE
3 - 1
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
POR
2 - 2
GLE
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GLE
1 - 1
LIS
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
DON
1 - 4
GLE
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |