Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 1
CRU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CRU
3 - 4
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
INS
3 - 1
CRU
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CRU
2 - 0
DON
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
GLE
1 - 2
GLE
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LIM
1 - 0
GLE
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 1
GLE
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
INS
2 - 3
GLE
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |