Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 1-7
Crusaders vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
CLI
3 - 0
CRU
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 1
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
4 - 1
LIS
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
NSI
0 - 0
FUL
18%
27%
55%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
FUL
3 - 0
NSI
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
FUL
2 - 2
ARS
24%
23%
54%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BIR
0 - 2
FUL
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
FUL
2 - 5
LIV
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |