Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 3
CRU
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
CRU
11%
20%
69%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | -7 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAL
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
CRU
16%
20%
65%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +7 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 1
CRU
17%
22%
62%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 2
CLI
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 4
DUN
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 0
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |