Crusaders vs Dundela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
COA
0 - 2
CRU
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
DON
2 - 3
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CRU
1 - 0
TOB
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
BMF
1 - 3
CRU
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 3
CRU
29%
28%
42%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Dundela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
MOY
2 - 6
DUN
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
DUN
3 - 1
HAR
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAL
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
TOB
1 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
DUN
0 - 4
COA
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |