Irish Cup Northern Ireland 1/64

Crumlin Star vs Bangor analysis

Crumlin Star Bangor
40 ELO 40
5.6% Tilt -3.7%
33756º General ELO ranking 1207º
67º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.8%
Crumlin Star
21.8%
Draw
47.4%
Bangor

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
Crumlin Star
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.4%
Win probability
Bangor
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Crumlin Star
Bangor
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crumlin Star
Crumlin Star
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2018
ARF
Ards Rangers
4 - 1
Crumlin Star
CSF
12%
17%
71%
41 18 23 0
02 Dec. 2017
SUF
Shankill United
0 - 4
Crumlin Star
CSF
9%
15%
77%
40 13 27 +1
04 Nov. 2017
ARC
Armagh City
1 - 2
Crumlin Star
CSF
64%
19%
17%
39 47 8 +1
15 Feb. 2016
CAR
Carrick Rangers
1 - 0
Crumlin Star
CSF
78%
14%
8%
40 54 14 -1
09 Jan. 2016
CSF
Crumlin Star
3 - 2
Oxford United Stars
OUS
53%
21%
25%
39 35 4 +1

Matches

Bangor
Bangor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2018
BAN
Bangor
0 - 2
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
34%
23%
44%
40 48 8 0
28 Jul. 2018
BAN
Bangor
1 - 1
Dollingstown
DOL
48%
22%
31%
40 42 2 0
24 Jul. 2018
BAN
Bangor
4 - 2
Concord Rangers
CON
60%
20%
20%
40 38 2 0
17 Jul. 2018
BAN
Bangor
0 - 0
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
30%
22%
47%
40 50 10 0
05 Jul. 2018
BAN
Bangor
1 - 4
Ards FC
ARD
25%
22%
54%
40 55 15 0