M'Saken vs EM Mahdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
9º
9º
28
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
M'Saken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
CRO
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
4 - 2
KAL
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 2
MOK
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 1
CRO
27%
28%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CLU
4 - 0
CRO
74%
18%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
EM Mahdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
EMM
1 - 1
MOK
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
EMM
3 - 1
SPO
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
KAL
0 - 0
EMM
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EMM
0 - 1
STA
27%
31%
42%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CLU
3 - 0
EMM
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |