Croatia Third Division Round 21

NK Croatia Zmijavci vs Zmaj Makarska analysis

NK Croatia Zmijavci Zmaj Makarska
38 ELO 28
8.1% Tilt 11.6%
4387º General ELO ranking 28618º
36º Country ELO ranking 156º
ELO win probability
71.9%
NK Croatia Zmijavci
16.1%
Draw
12%
Zmaj Makarska

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
NK Croatia Zmijavci
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12%
Win probability
Zmaj Makarska
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NK Croatia Zmijavci
-4%
-37%
Zmaj Makarska

ELO progression

NK Croatia Zmijavci
Zmaj Makarska
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK Croatia Zmijavci
NK Croatia Zmijavci
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2014
ZAG
Zagora Unešić
2 - 0
NK Croatia Zmijavci
ZMI
21%
20%
59%
40 26 14 0
09 Mar. 2014
ZMI
NK Croatia Zmijavci
1 - 1
NK Kamen
KAM
77%
14%
9%
40 28 12 0
01 Mar. 2014
JUN
Junak Sinj
1 - 2
NK Croatia Zmijavci
ZMI
47%
24%
30%
39 40 1 +1
30 Nov. 2013
NKC
NK Konavljanin
0 - 3
NK Croatia Zmijavci
ZMI
22%
22%
57%
38 28 10 +1
23 Nov. 2013
ZMI
NK Croatia Zmijavci
2 - 1
Primorac Stobrec
PRI
75%
15%
10%
38 29 9 0

Matches

Zmaj Makarska
Zmaj Makarska
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2014
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
0 - 3
Imotski
IMO
27%
25%
48%
31 43 12 0
08 Mar. 2014
HRV
Hrvace
1 - 0
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
42%
26%
33%
32 31 1 -1
01 Mar. 2014
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
4 - 1
GOŠK DBK
GOS
64%
21%
16%
31 26 5 +1
30 Nov. 2013
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
1 - 0
Mosor
MOS
24%
26%
50%
28 43 15 +3
23 Nov. 2013
NER
Neretva
0 - 0
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
48%
24%
28%
28 28 0 0