Criciúma vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 0
CHA
23%
25%
53%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 2
CRI
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 0
TUB
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LIT
1 - 3
CRI
11%
17%
72%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
0 - 0
FFL
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
ATP
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -2 |