Criciúma vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CRI
1 - 2
ATP
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
JEC
3 - 0
CRI
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 0
FFL
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
CRI
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CRI
7 - 0
CAM
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MET
0 - 2
CHA
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JEC
2 - 1
MET
68%
18%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MET
0 - 4
FFL
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 3
MET
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |