Criciúma vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BRA
5 - 1
CRI
59%
24%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
CRI
0 - 3
FLA
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CRI
2 - 4
COR
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
CRI
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
CRI
0 - 1
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
CAC
0 - 0
BAR
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAC
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAC
47%
29%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
NOV
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
HER
32%
31%
37%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |