Crewe Alexandra vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CRE
0 - 1
MOR
48%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BRO
2 - 5
CRE
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
CRE
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
CRA
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
CRE
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 2
GUL
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 0
PLY
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BRO
2 - 3
PLY
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
PLY
55%
23%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |