Crewe Alexandra vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
STF
1 - 3
CRE
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CRE
0 - 2
WOL
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
CRE
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 2
COV
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 3
NOT
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
OLD
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
STE
2 - 3
COL
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
COL
1 - 2
TRA
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
POS
2 - 0
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NOT
2 - 0
COL
54%
23%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |