League Two . Jor. 42

Crewe Alexandra vs Bristol Rovers analysis

Crewe Alexandra Bristol Rovers
58 ELO 52
11.5% Tilt 12.9%
1885º General ELO ranking 1639º
66º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
60.7%
Crewe Alexandra
21.4%
Draw
17.9%
Bristol Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
Crewe Alexandra
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.9%
Win probability
Bristol Rovers
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crewe Alexandra
-10%
-23%
Bristol Rovers

ELO progression

Crewe Alexandra
Bristol Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2012
CRA
Crawley Town
1 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
65%
20%
15%
57 65 8 0
31 Mar. 2012
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 1
Northampton
NOR
63%
21%
16%
57 50 7 0
24 Mar. 2012
HER
Hereford United
0 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
26%
25%
50%
57 47 10 0
20 Mar. 2012
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 0
Bradford City
BRA
63%
21%
16%
56 50 6 +1
17 Mar. 2012
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 0
Swindon Town
SWI
28%
26%
46%
55 67 12 +1

Matches

Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2012
BRO
Bristol Rovers
2 - 2
Gillingham
GIL
37%
26%
37%
53 57 4 0
31 Mar. 2012
SWI
Swindon Town
0 - 0
Bristol Rovers
BRO
68%
20%
12%
52 65 13 +1
27 Mar. 2012
ALD
Aldershot Town
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers
BRO
44%
26%
30%
53 56 3 -1
24 Mar. 2012
BRO
Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Southend United
SOU
33%
26%
41%
52 58 6 +1
20 Mar. 2012
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
39%
26%
35%
52 50 2 0
X